Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.572143 1.704882 1.845489 2.005846 2.184055 2.376467 2.600518
2026-01-04 1.388985 1.574046 1.781245 2.031684 2.327861 2.669030 3.094745
2026-01-11 1.268858 1.485239 1.737688 2.056572 2.452316 2.932183 3.565599
2026-01-18 1.178615 1.415732 1.701692 2.076164 2.559901 3.172525 4.021481
2026-01-25 1.100482 1.350591 1.660694 2.079388 2.639224 3.375667 4.441342
2026-02-01 1.016528 1.269694 1.590832 2.035602 2.647834 3.479747 4.729643
2026-02-08 0.950806 1.206471 1.537509 2.006722 2.670072 3.599038 5.045074
2026-02-15 0.899595 1.158212 1.499512 1.993848 2.710555 3.743564 5.407655
2026-02-22 0.873258 1.141046 1.501384 2.035055 2.829334 4.009338 5.981005
2026-03-01 0.832188 1.100823 1.468212 2.022620 2.866326 4.152746 6.371652
2026-03-08 0.790106 1.056615 1.426399 1.993878 2.875022 4.250747 6.694382
2026-03-15 0.740875 0.999673 1.363047 1.928499 2.821327 4.243319 6.832850
2026-03-22 0.715311 0.975944 1.347345 1.935443 2.883859 4.433123 7.346292
2026-03-29 0.695385 0.959319 1.341037 1.956181 2.969756 4.669054 7.972560
2026-04-05 0.677538 0.944698 1.336640 1.979126 3.060245 4.919941 8.657838
2026-04-12 0.659880 0.929349 1.330050 1.997640 3.143878 5.165212 9.362954
2026-04-19 0.639752 0.909206 1.314822 2.000682 3.200308 5.365113 10.000846
2026-04-26 0.610657 0.874011 1.274256 1.958952 3.174206 5.407843 10.310545
2026-05-03 0.586715 0.845759 1.243286 1.931425 3.171218 5.493446 10.723158
2026-05-10 0.567606 0.824248 1.222046 1.919152 3.194867 5.632297 11.273011
2026-05-17 0.560451 0.821220 1.230410 1.958429 3.316830 5.977654 12.351824
2026-05-24 0.543301 0.801522 1.210499 1.946577 3.340590 6.124153 12.974799
2026-05-31 0.524064 0.777734 1.182778 1.919181 3.332195 6.202203 13.438425